Capability performance to date of MPR projects

2.65  A multi-year comparison of capability performance needs to be treated with caution due to year-to-year changes in the basis of MOEs or Materiel Capability milestones previously reported and the recent move to reporting Measures of Materiel Capability Performance.

2.66  This fourth MPR continues to examine the broad trends in the DMO's assessment of the likelihood of projects delivering the required capabilities over time. This comparison can be achieved by examining this year's PDSSs and data reported in previous MPRs.

2.67  Figure 13 examines the DMO's assessment of the likely delivery of the materiel capability for the 28 Major Projects reported in the 2010-11 MPR; the MOEs for 21 of the 22 Major Projects in the 2009-10 MPR; 14 of the 15 Major Projects in the 2008-09 MPR86; and the nine Major Projects in the 2007-08 MPR.

2.68 The DMO's data suggests that there is greater confidence in the level of materiel capability that will be delivered, shown by the growing percentage of measures assessed as green. However, since the 2008-09 MPR there is also a growing number of measures assessed as unlikely to be met.

Figure 13
Projects' measures of materiel capability performance-The DMO level of confidence in their delivery in 2008, 2009, 2010 and 2011 (percentages: Green, Amber and Red)

 

Sources:

2007-08, 2008-09, 2009-10 and 2010-11 MPRs.

Note 1:

Measures of Materiel Capability Performance concern the forecasting of future achievements and are outside the scope of ANAO's review.

Note 2:

It should be noted that what are defined as a project's MOEs or Measures of Materiel Capability can change from year-to-year. Therefore, any comparison of an individual or a group of projects' MOEs or Measures of Materiel Capability data across years should be treated with caution as this may not involve comparing 'like with like'.

Note 3:

* The ANAO did not examine the accuracy of the recording of this data in previous MPRs.

Note 4:

^ Super Hornet did not have MOEs but does have Measures of Materiel Capability Performance in the latest MAA.

Note 5:

The key capability assessment for Wedgetail has been against the Supplies section of the MAA, which lists the equipment to be delivered.




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86  The DMO advised that the Super Hornet did not have endorsed MOEs because of its MOTS nature. The Super Hornet capability does have Measures of Materiel Capability Performance.