5.1 Major Project Risks

Identified Risks (risk identified by standard project risk management processes)

Description

Remedial Action

The ability to conduct OT&E in Australia will be affected by the JASSM range safety template leading to an impact on cost, schedule and sustainability.

Project AIR 5418 has engaged DSTO to develop a Range Safety Template Tool which provides a probabilistic weapon danger area. Ministerial guidance has been provided for public risk exposure levels. JASSM range safety issues will be briefed to the Defence Explosive Ordnance Committee for advice on accepting public risk. This risk is now retired following Government endorsement of the Air Force Headquarters Submission - JASSM Launches at the Woomera Test Range.

Certification will be affected by JASSM not meeting Technical Airworthiness Regulator (TAR) requirements for airworthiness leading to an impact on schedule, cost and performance.

Project AIR 5418 has engaged Directorate General Technical Airworthiness (DGTA), Capability Development Group and Air Force Headquarters to remediate requirement deficiencies. Progress has been made through the provision of issue papers addressing the technical and airworthiness risks. The remaining TAR risk has been realised and as such is now reflected as an issue regarding unresolved Safety Critical Software issues in Table 5.2. This risk/issue will be retired following sign-off of the Issue Papers.

IOC will be affected by failure to achieve an acceptable level of capability leading to an impact on Cost, Schedule and Performance.

Thorough development and acceptance testing has been performed by USN at China Lake. Identified performance deficiencies have been addressed (where possible) through engineering re-development. Remaining deficiencies have been assessed as acceptable to allow IMR and progression to IOC. Test assets required to conduct OT&E were delivered in June 11. This risk will be retired following achievement of MR2

Successful integration of JASSM onto the RAAF Hornets may not be completed within the OFP timelines, leading to a delay to IOC.

This risk is now retired following a successful China Lake Live Fire event and the subsequent issue of a USN certification letter.

Certification will be affected by USN/USAF non or partial release of data leading to an impact on Cost, Schedule and Performance

Project AIR 5418 has engaged with DGTA and solicited Capability Development Group (CDG) support to engage with higher level authority. An issues paper on post launch safety has been prepared for DGTA consideration. The project office has continued to engage with US Air Force for release of data. This risk/issue will be retired following sign-off of the Issue Papers.

JASSM 21X capability will be affected by delays in the capability of the AF/A-18 Embedded GPS/ Inertial Navigation (EGI) JASSM interface leading to an impact on capability and schedule.

This risk has been overcome and retired through the use of Black Crypto Variable Monthly Keys.

The planned China Lake and Woomera Live Fire events may be delayed due to expiry of Flight Termination System Lifed components.

This risk is now retired. The China Lake live fire event was successfully completed on 3 December 2010. The Test Missiles for the Woomera OT&E event have Lifed components which will not expire until well after the scheduled OT&E event.

Delay in obtaining approval to conduct Operational Test and Evaluation in Australia may impact range and test support resources availability, and delay achievement of IOC.

This extreme risk has been included following reassessment and can be retired following the OT&E event scheduled for 18-29 July 2011. The AIR 5418 project office and Air Combat Group are engaging Woomera range management for ongoing updates. Potential test dates are being reserved through range bookings well in advance of testing. When final test dates are known, AIR 5418 will negotiate with stakeholders to enable the Operational Test and Evaluation to proceed as scheduled.

JASSM Certification (against the Functional Performance Specification) will be affected by incomplete software testing or data, requiring further testing to allow full certification. Certification will be affected by USN/USAF none or partial release of data leading to an impact on cost and, schedule and performance.

Project AIR 5418 has engaged with DGTA and solicited CDG support to engage with higher level authority. An issues paper on post launch safety has been prepared for DGTA consideration. The project office has continued to engage with US Air Force for release of data. This high identified risk has been included following reassessment.

The JASSM project will be affected by the lack of skilled/experienced staff leading to an impact on Schedule, Cost, Performance and Sustainability.

This risk is reducing with completion of 21X certification and expected completion of 23X certification. This high identified risk has been included following reassessment. The risk will be retired following achievement of IOC.

The JASSM Mission Planning System - PTM & JMPS can not be integrated with the Defence Information Environment and Defence Secret Network (DSN) leading to an impact on Cost, Schedule, Supportability and Performance.

The project office is working with Command and Intelligence System Support Office to resolve this issue. This high identified risk has been included following reassessment.

Emergent Risks (risk not previously identified but has emerged during 2010-11)

Description

Remedial Action

JASSM certification may be affected by incomplete operational testing or test failure, requiring rework and further testing to allow full certification.

AIR 5418 have a full time Test & Evaluation manager, assisted by a uniformed understudy. There has been high level engagement with the Test & Evaluation Working Group members, including Air Force and Capability Development Group. This risk will be retired following successful completion of OT&E.

FMR will not be realised due to the lack of the specific aspects of mission planning infrastructure support leading to an impact on Performance.

DMO and CDG staff are liaising with Defence Imagery and Geospatial Organisation and Defence Signals Directorate to establish a process to provide the required operational resources to support JASSM mission planning.

There will be a delay in the approval and issue of the JASSM Instructions for Continuing Airworthiness leading to an impact on Schedule and Supportability.

Publications have been drafted for use at OT&E and will be published prior to IOC. This risk will be retired following publication release.

Some of the Precision Strike Targeting LAN (PSTL) specific software will not be compatible with the Defence Standard Operating Environment and potentially affect the use of the software or the interface with the DSN.

This risk has been considered and will be addressed in the development of the PSTL system if issues become apparent.