Current spending on infrastructure is well below this US$3 trillion threshold, even when considering fiscal stimulus

Just as it is challenging to estimate the investment need globally, it is challenging to establish what is actually being spent. Table 2 shows current infrastructure spending levels in a range of countries, primarily emerging economies, and provides a sense of how much infrastructure investment will need to increase in order to meet the notional 5 percent of GDP target.

Figure 2: Average annual worldwide infrastructure expenditure forecasts

Source: Based on OECD data from OECD (2006), Infrastructure to 2030: Telecom, Land Transport, Water and Electricity, p. 29.

Table 2: Current infrastructure spending levels in selected countries

Country

Amount
(US$ billions)

Period

Percent GDP*

Argentina

20.7

2009-March 2010

3.7

Brazil

212.6

2007-March 2010

3.5

Indonesia

9.2

2009-March 2010

0.9

Malaysia

2.0

2009-March 2010

0.5

Mexico

200.0

2008-13

2.7

South Africa

60.0

2009-11

4.1

Source: Foreign Affairs and International Trade Canada, 2009.

Note: Information about budgetary provisions for infrastructure has been

adjusted to give an annualized number. 

* Annualized GDP number.

Although the headlines might lead to the conclusion that the fiscal stimulus amounts to a transformational quantity of additional expenditure, analysis undertaken by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) indicates that the additional budget funding allocated to infrastructure projects in the two-year period of 2009-10 remains a small percentage of GDP. In many countries, the fiscal stimulus provides an additional allocation for only one year. This is illustrated in Figure 3.