1.1 In this Part we examine in-year changes to the cost, time and technical performance of the 15 largest projects, where the main decision to invest funding (the main investment decision or main-gate) has been made. Overall, the forecast cost to complete the Report's projects has increased in-year by £466 million (0.9 per cent) which includes £113 million of capability enhancements, and slipped a further 30 months (average two months per project) against their planned in-service date. Figure 2 provides a detailed breakdown of time, cost and technical performance for each of the 15 post-main-gate projects.
Figure 2 | |||||||||||||||||||
Project | Description | Expected cost to completion at approval (£) | Current forecast cost to completion (£m) | Total cost variation (£m) | In-year change on costs to completion (£m) | Expected in-service date at approval | Current forecast in-service date | Total time variation (months) | In year change to in-service date (months) | Defence lines of development | Key performance measures | Number to be procured | |||||||
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| To be met | To be met, with risk | Not to be met | In-year change, not to be met | To be met | To be met, with risk | Not to be met | In year | Approved | Current plan |
A400M | Large transport aircraft | 2,498 | 3,105 | +607 | +150 | Feb 09 | Mar 15 | +73 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | No change | 9 | 0 | 0 | No change | 25 | 22 |
Airseeker | Airborne electronic surveillance | 659 | 681 | +22 | +23 | Oct 14 | Oct 14 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | No change | 8 | 1 | 0 | No change | 3 | 3 |
Astute Class submarines | Attack submarine: boats one to three | 2,233 | 3,480 | +1,247 | +179 | Jun 05 | Apr 10 | +58 | -3 |
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| 7 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 3 |
| Attack submarine: boats four to six1 | 2,157 | 2,243 | +86 | +70 | Aug 15 | Jan 18 | +29 | +13 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | No change | 3 | 3 |
Beyond Visual Range Air-to- Air Missile (Meteor) | Air-to-air missile: original in-service date Air-to-air missile: in-service date one Air-to-air missile: in-service date two | 1,136 | 1,115 | -21 | +1 | Sep 11 | Aug 13 | +23 | 0 |
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Aug 12 | Nov 12 | +3 | +3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No change | 7 | 0 | 0 | No change | *** | *** | ||||||
Jul 15 | Jul 15 | 0 | 0 |
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Future Strategic Tanker Aircraft | Air-to-air refuelling and passenger aircraft | 12,307 | 12,009 | -298 | +111 | May 14 | May 14 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | No change | 9 | 0 | 0 | No change | 14 | 14 |
Joint Combat Aircraft | Fighter/attack aircraft | 2,482 | 2,112 | -370 | -37 | No date | No date | No data | No data | 4 | 4 | 0 | No change | 7 | 0 | 0 | No change |
| No data2 |
Lynx Wildcat | Light helicopter: battlefield and naval variants | 1,803 | 1,644 | -159 | +39 | Jan 14 | Jan 14 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | No change | 12 | 6 | 0 | No change | 80 | 663 |
Merlin Capability Sustainment Programme | Update of helicopter avionics | 805 | 768 | -37 | -33 | Feb 14 | Feb 14 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | No change | 10 | 0 | 0 | No change | 30 | 30 |
Puma Life-Extension Programme | Update of helicopter cockpit and avionics | 339 | 326 | -13 | -13 | Nov 13 | Nov 13 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | No change | 7 | 0 | 0 | No change | 28 | 24 |
Queen Elizabeth Class | Aircraft carrier | 3,541 | 5,131 | +1,590 | -13 | Jul 15 | Oct 16 | +15 | +5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | No change | 8 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 2 |
Specialist Vehicles | Armoured fighting vehicles | 1,39 4 | 1,394 | 0 | 0 | No date | No date | No data | No data | 8 | 0 | 0 | No change | 11 | 0 | 0 | No change |
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Type 45 Destroyer | Anti-air warfare destroyer | 4,757 | 5,664 | +907 | -30 | May 07 | Jul 10 | +38 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | No change | 5 | 4 | 0 | No change | 6 | 6 |
Typhoon | Fighter aircraft and Future Capability Programme | 15,583 | 18,159 | +2,576 | +18 | Dec 98 | Jun 03 | +54 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | No change | 15 | 1 | 1 | No change | 232 | 160 |
United Kingdom Military Flying Training System | Flying training capability | 928 | 900 | -28 | +5 | May 09 | Feb 10 | +95 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | No change | 205 | 85 | 05 | No change | 28 | 285 |
Watchkeeper | Surveillance, target acquisition and reconnaissance unmanned aerial vehicle | 847 | 839 | -8 | -4 | Jun 10 | Feb 12 | +20 | +12 | 4 | 4 | 0 | No change | 6 | 4 | 1 | No change | 54 | 54 |
Total |
| 53,469 | 59,570 | +6,101 | +466 |
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| +322 | +30 | 82 | 37 | 1 | +1 | 147 | 29 | 4 | +2 |
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NOTES 1 Costs include some initial items for boats five and six, as these submarines have not received their main investment decision. In-service dates apply to boat four only. 2 The number of Joint Combat Aircraft has yet to be determined. In last year's report we stated that up to 150 would be procured but this is now subject to negotiation following the Strategic Defence and Security Review. 3 Numbers include eight Light Attack Helicopters which are modified Battlefield Reconnaissance Helicopters. Budgetary provision was made for these additional aircraft in the last planning round, but they are yet to be formally approved. 4 The number of Specialist Vehicles to be procured will not be determined until the manufacture phase of the project. 5 The dates specified for the United Kingdom Military Flying Training System relate to the Advanced Jet Trainer increment. The in-year change to in-service dates represents the total variation to the United Kingdom Military Flying Training System programme. The key performance measures shown are those for the full United Kingdom Military Flying Training System programme. The platform numbers specified for the United Kingdom Military Flying Training System programme relate to the Advanced Jet Trainer increment. Source: National Audit Office analysis of Departmental data | |||||||||||||||||||