1.5  Quantitative Analysis

During the business case stage, some form of quantitative analysis is typically performed in Parts B, C and D, as described in the table below.

Business Case Section

Analysis

Part B (Investment Decision)

  Multiple Criteria Analysis (MCA)

  Net Present Cost (NPC) Analysis

  Operational Efficiencies

  Sensitivity Analysis (MCA)

Part C (Procurement Decision)

  Multiple Criteria Analysis (MCA)

  Comprehensive Risk Analysis (includes Monte Carlo analysis)

  Financial Analysis (PSC and Shadow Bid)

  Sensitivity Analysis (Financial Model)

Part D (Recommended Option Affordability)

  Accounting Analysis

  Funding Analysis

  Budget

The focus of this paper is to describe the quantitative procurement options analysis that is used in Parts C and D of the business case. The quantitative procurement options analysis is used to:

•  Assess the potential quantitative benefits of PPP procurement compared to traditional public sector procurement,

•  Support the qualitative analysis of procurement options based on non-financial criteria, and

•  Provide input to the funding analysis to estimate the impact that a PPP procurement option would have on project accounting.