2.2  Potential of the PPP market over the next decade

Estimates of the size of the Australian PPP market vary. In 2004 the National PPP Forum estimated that at that time, over $9 billion in PPP projects were already contracted. This comprised over $4 billion in PPP projects currently in the market and over $5.5 billion of projects being considered for delivery as PPPs.

According to the Financial Times the Australian market comprised $9 billion of projects between 2000 and 2006, and is expected to grow to $100 billion in the next ten years (Minder, 2006). However, the such levels would not be achieved un-less the market share of PPPs rises sig-nificantly. Infrastructure spending (gross fixed capital formation) of approximately $38 billion is indicated for 2008. State Infrastructure Plans project spending of over $320 billion over the next decade, which could easily become $400 billion.3 In order to achieve the $100 billion level of PPP projects foreshadowed by the Financial Times, it would therefore be necessary for Australian PPPs to capture a 25 percent share of the overall infra-structure market, compared with their current share, which lies in the vicinity of 10-15 percent of total government procurement.




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 CEDA (2007), Sustainable Queensland, Volume 2, CEDA Information Paper 88, p.58.