Note 5 - Revaluation, Indexation and Impairment

The residual interest represents the expected fair value of the property at the point of reversion to the Body. The asset is therefore an interest in a future tangible fixed asset. Since revaluation or impairments are, in effect, changes to the future benefits associated with the residual interest, they must both be recognised in full at NPV from the point at which they crystallise. The discounting for the revaluation or impairments is progressively unwound as the concession period progresses to produce the required EFVR.

Indexation changes are analogous to mini revaluations and are applied year by year. Forward estimation using NPV is therefore unnecessary.

Figs 4 and 5 illustrate how the impairments and revaluation values were established for the worked example.

Fig 4 - Calculation of Impairment/Revaluation NPVs

 

Year

DF (3.5%)

EFVR

Scenario A

Scenario B

Scenario C

 

 

£000

£000

£000

£000

15

0.60

17,907

16,713

 

 

16

0.62

18,533

17,298

 

 

17

0.64

19,182

17,903

 

 

18

0.66

19,853

18,530

 

 

19

0.68

20,548

19,178

 

 

20

0.71

21,268

19,850

24,812

 

21

0.73

22,012

20,544

25,681

 

22

0.76

22,782

21,264

26,579

 

23

0.79

23,580

22,008

27,510

 

24

0.81

24,405

22,778

28,473

 

25

0.84

25,259

23,575

29,469

 

26

0.87

26,143

24,400

30,500

 

27

0.90

27,058

25,254

31,568

 

28

0.93

28,005

26,138

32,673

 

29

0.97

28,986

27,053

33,816

 

30

1.00

30,000

28,000

35,000

34,000

In overview:

 

 

 

 

 

•  Scenario A - represents the recognition of an impairment of £2,000k - in other words, we expect the EFVR of £30 million to have reduced to £28 million by the end of the concession period. Fig 4 demonstrates the difference in NPV for each of the remaining years of the contract. The initial impairment recognised at Year 15 is calculated as the difference between:

(NPV Year 15 @ £28m) - (NPV Year 15@ £30m) = £16.71m - £17.91m = -£1.20m

In each subsequent year, the NPV of the impairment must be adjusted as the discounting unwinds. The adjustment in Year 16 is calculated as:

(NPV Year 16 @ £28m) - (NPV Year 16@ £30m) - ((NPV Year 15 @ £28m) - (NPV Year 15@ £30m)) =

£17.30m - £18.53m - (-£1.2m) = -£1.23m + £1.20m = -£0.03m

•  Scenario B - represents the recognition of a revaluation which will have the effect of adding £7m to the residual interest's EFVR. The logic behind its recognition and subsequent unwinding is similar to that for Scenario A;

•  Scenario C - impairment recognised in the final year to reversion and therefore undiscounted.

•  Note: each of the adjustments to the residual interest's value is superimposed over each other. In other words, a revaluation which eclipses a previous impairment does not mean that the Body should cease unwinding the NPV of the impairment. The end result must be that by reversion, the impairments and/or revaluation to the EFVR have been fully accounted for. In the example given, the net effect of revaluation and impairments is: £30m - £2m +£7m - £1m = £30m + £4m = £34m.

Figure 5 below summarises the base data on which the unwinding of the discounts was calculated.

Fig 5 - Progressive unwinding of discounts

Year

Scenario A

Scenario B

 

Scenario C

 

Net Effect

 

£000

£000

 

£000

 

£000

15 -

1,194

 

 

 

 

1,194

16 -

42

 

 

 

-

42

17 -

43

 

 

 

-

43

18 -

45

 

 

 

-

45

19 -

46

 

 

 

-

46

20 -

48

4,962

 

 

 

4,914

21 -

50

174

 

 

 

124

22 -

51

180

 

 

 

128

23 -

53

186

 

 

 

133

24 -

55

193

 

 

 

138

25 -

57

199

 

 

 

142

26 -

59

206

 

 

 

147

27 -

61

214

 

 

 

153

28 -

63

221

 

 

 

158

29 -

65

229

 

 

 

163

30 -

68

237

-

1,000

-

831

-

2,000

7,000

-

1,000

 

4,000