Risks May Outweigh Rewards

One of the attractions of public-private partnerships for the public sector is in shifting project risk to the private sector, which then has to understand and account for the possible financial, managerial, and other potential liabilities of the shifted risk. Conversely, public agencies must understand the cost in shifting risk to the private sector.

Risks generally fall into these categories:

Technical

Construction

Operating

Revenue/financial

Force majeure

Regulatory/political

Project default

The private sector will not willingly assume the risk within a PPP without the possibility of reward. What's interesting is that the risk is not created through a PPP, just reassigned and made visible where before, when borne only by the public sector, it was invisible.

Table 5 (from Constructor Magazine[xxv]) illustrates PPP realignment of risk. Some risks, depending on the partners and project, may be shifted differently than indicated in the table. For example, usage/travel/revenue risk can easily be transferred to the private sector. Also, unknown risks relating to hazmat and archeological may remain with the public sector or be shared. Discriminatory legal action against a PPP is most definitely a risk that remains with the public sector.

Table 5: Risk Re-Allocation in PPPs

Potential Risk

Typical Private Sector Responsibility

Risk Shifted to Private Sector in PPP

Major environmental risks

No

Maybe

Usage rates, travel, and revenue

Never

Not likely

Conflicts, delays from unknown historical conditions

No

Yes

Conflicts, delays from unknown archaeological conditions

No

Yes

Conflicts, delays from unknown endangered‐species conditions

No

Yes

Conflicts, delays from unknown utility conditions

Maybe

Yes

Cost and delays from unidentified hazardous waste not caused by contractor

No

Yes

Accuracy of design and survey data

No

Yes

Geotechnical and soil conditions

No

Yes

Differing site conditions

No

Yes

Delays from legal action against the project

No

Yes

Delays from public interference

No

Yes

Right-of-way acquisition cost, and time to procure (need the public entity's right of eminent domain)

No

Likely

Changes in zoning, laws or rules that may affect the project

No

Yes

Delays by the grantor and/or other agencies

No

Yes

Insurance coverage

Partial

Likely

Up-front costs to design and develop project

No

Likely

Long-term liability exposure for maintenance, structures

Maybe

Likely

Long-term liability exposure to litigation

Maybe

Maybe

High and unusual liquidated damages for delay

No

Likely

Extraordinary guarantees

No

Likely

Interestingly enough, though the risks shift to the private sector, the public sector generally retains ultimate authority, responsibility and ownership of the assets. The reward needs to be great enough to entice the public sector to pursue the project. If a private toll road developer does not meet revenue expectations due to lower than projected road usage, the developer may not only lose revenue, but could face possible bankruptcy. Meanwhile, the road still exists as a physical asset of the public sector.