ECONOMIC APPRAISAL: SUMMARY OF BASIC STEPS

Step

Main Procedures in Brief

Guidance

1. Explain the Strategic Context

• Refer to underlying policy or strategy, e.g.
policy statements, statutory requirements, or
business plans.

• Indicate how the proposal is expected to
contribute to the

• Relevant strategic aims and objectives.

Option Appraisal Guide section 2.1

Green Book chapters 3 & 4

2. Establish the Need for Expenditure

• Establish the need for expenditure by:-

• analysing the expected demand for services; and

• identifying deficiencies in current service provision.

• Justify and quantify the proposed level of service

• provision over the appraisal period.

Option Appraisal Guide section 2.2

Green Book chapters 3 & 4

3. Define the Objectives & Constraints

• Define the expected outcomes and outputs.

• Specify targets that are SMART i.e. Specific
Measurable Achievable Relevant and Time-dependent.

• Include implementation targets e.g. dates, milestones.

• State the key constraints on the project, e.g.
technical, financial, legal, timing etc.

• Indicate the relative priority of individual
objectives or

• elements of the proposals.

• Provide sufficient detail to enable option
generation and option performance assessment.

Option Appraisal Guide section 2.3

Green Book chapter 4

4. Identify & Describe the Options

• Identify and describe a baseline option, usually
the status quo, and a suitably wide range of
alternative options.

• Consider variations in scale, quality, technique,
location, timing and funding method.

• Examine alternative procurement options
including appropriate consideration of a PPP solution.

• Choose a suitable number of options for full
appraisal.

• Where some are rejected before full appraisal,
explain reasons for rejection.

Option Appraisal Guide section 2.4

Green Book chapters 5

5. Identify & Quantify the Monetary Costs & Benefits Of Options

• Detail capital costs, including any refurbishment costs, and annual recurrent costs and benefits of all options.

• Express costings in total rather than incremental terms, to expose full resource consequences.

• Include opportunity costs and residual values for all assets employed, whether already owned or not.

• Assess displacement, and adjust costings accordingly.

• Adjust for inflation and (where relevant) tax differences.

• Where cost savings or efficiency improvements re projected, indicate whether they will represent financial savings or redeployment of resources.

• Consider costs and benefits to other parts of the public and private sectors.

Option Appraisal Guide section 2.5

Green Book chapter 5 and Annex 3

HMT supplementary guidance on the taxation of PFI and the public sector comparator

6. Appraise Risks And Adjust For Optimism Bias

• Prepare a risk log identifying and quantifying the main risks associated with the proposal.

• Consider how risks compare under the different options.

• Adjust costs, benefits and timing assumptions for optimism bias.

Develop suitable risk management and risk reduction strategies

Option Appraisal Guide section 2.6

Green Book chapter 5 and SGHD guidance on Optimism Bias Annex 4; HMT supplementary guidance on the treatment of Optimism bias.

7. Weigh Up Non-Monetary Cost & Benefits

• Identify relevant non-monetary costs and benefits.

• Quantify them in suitable units where possible.

• Employ appropriate technique to show how they compare under the different options e.g. "list and describe" in simpler cases; "impact statement" or "weighted scoring method" in others.

• Consider distributional issues

• Explain assumptions clearly e.g. weights and scores should be explained individually.

• Interpret the results of the non-monetary analysis.

Option Appraisal Guide section 2.7

Green Book Annexes 2 & 5

8. Calculate Net Present Values (NPVs) And Assess Uncertainties

• Identify phasing of monetary costs and benefits over suitable time period, adjusted for inflation, optimism bias and (where relevant) displacement and tax differences.

• Calculate NPV (or NPC) for each option, using correct discount rate.

• Include spreadsheets detailing the calculations, including disaggregation of cost/benefit items.

• Show, for each year, the discount factors used, the total

NPV for the year, and the cumulative NPV to that year.

• Identify the price basis and base year for discounting.

• Test and interpret the sensitivity of the NPVs (or NPCs) to changes in important assumptions, and explain choice of variations covered.

• Interpret the results e.g. estimate the probability of various

• Possible outcomes and implications for option ranking.

• Provide sufficient detail to enable checking ofcalculations.

Option Appraisal Guide section 2.8




Green Book chapter 5 and Annex 6

9. Assess Arrangements for Financing, Management, Procurement, Marketing, Monitoring & Ex Post Evaluation

Financing: Include budget, cash flow and funding

• statements, phased over time.

Management: Give details of proposed personnel,

• Procurement method, timetable, benefits realisation plan,

• Accommodation needs, staffing issues etc.

Marketing: Provide market assessment and marketing plan

• As appropriate

Monitoring: Indicate how the proposed option will be Monitored during and after implementation.

Evaluation: Record pre-implementation levels of resource use and service provision. Indicate factors to be evaluated, when, how and by whom.

Where funding the non-Govt sector is in view:

• Assess Viability i.e. examine cash flows, management & financial arrangements to ensure that funding is not wasted on proposals that will fail prematurely.

Option Appraisal Guide sections 2.9, 10 & 11







Green Book chapters 6 & 7










Option Appraisal Guide section 4.5

10. Assess the Balance Between the Options & Present the Results & Conclusions

• Write up the steps of the appraisal in the order shown here.

• Give details of assumptions & calculations, using appropriate appendices.

• Include summary of main results (i.e. NPVs/NPCs, unquantifiables and uncertainties) for each option.

• Draw out the balance of advantage among options, assess VFM and affordability, and record conclusions and recommendations.

Option Appraisal Guide section 2.10

Green Book chapter 6