APPENDIX 3  Year by year analysis of the contract price in present value and cash terms before and after the refinancing 

 

 

Cash

 

 

NPV at 6 per cent real

 

NPV at 3.5 per cent real

Financial Year

At contract letting £'000

Prior to the refinancing £'000

After the refinancing £'000

 

At contract letting £'000

Prior to the refinancing £'000

After the refinancing £'000

 

At contract letting £'000

Prior to the refinancing £'000

After the refinancing £'000

2001 (part year)

9,448

9,990

9,990

 

7,526

7,521

7,521

 

8,355

8,349

8,349

2002

19,415

17,941

17,941

 

12,171

12,160

12,160

 

13,838

13,824

13,824

2003

20,093

18,306

16,779

 

11,483

11,485

10,582

 

13,370

13,372

12,321

2004

20,797

19,649

16,636

 

10,833

10,837

9,688

 

12,918

12,923

11,553

2005

21,525

20,091

17,957

 

10,220

10,224

9,141

 

12,481

12,486

11,163

2006

22,278

20,549

18,366

 

9,642

9,645

8,622

 

12,059

12,064

10,785

2007

23,058

21,052

18,814

 

9,096

9,099

8,134

 

11,652

11,656

10,420

2008

23,865

21,578

19,284

 

8,581

8,584

7,674

 

11,258

11,262

10,067

2009

24,700

22,118

19,766

 

8,095

8,098

7,239

 

10,877

10,881

9,727

2010

25,564

22,671

20,260

 

7,637

7,640

6,830

 

10,509

10,512

9,398

2011

26,459

23,237

20,767

 

7,205

7,207

6,443

 

10,154

10,157

9,080

2012

27,385

23,818

21,286

 

6,797

6,799

6,078

 

9,810

9,814

8,773

2013

28,344

24,414

21,818

 

6,412

6,414

5,734

 

9,479

9,482

8,477

2014

29,336

25,024

22,364

 

6,049

6,051

5,410

 

9,158

9,161

8,190

2015

30,363

25,650

22,923

 

5,707

5,709

5,104

 

8,848

8,851

7,913

2016

31,425

26,291

23,496

 

5,384

5,386

4,815

 

8,549

8,552

7,645

2017

32,525

26,948

24,083

 

5,079

5,081

4,542

 

8,260

8,263

7,387

2018

33,664

27,622

24,685

 

4,792

4,793

4,285

 

7,981

7,984

7,137

2019

34,842

28,313

25,302

 

4,520

4,522

4,042

 

7,711

7,714

6,896

2020

36,061

29,020

25,935

 

4,264

4,266

3,814

 

7,450

7,453

6,662

2021

37,323

29,746

26,583

 

4,023

4,025

3,598

 

7,198

7,200

6,437

2022

38,630

30,490

27,248

 

3,795

3,797

3,394

 

6,955

6,957

6,219

2023

39,982

31,252

27,929

 

3,581

3,582

3,202

 

6,719

6,722

6,009

2024

41,381

32,033

28,627

 

3,378

3,379

3,021

 

6,492

6,495

5,806

2025

42,829

32,834

29,344

 

3,187

3,188

2,850

 

6,273

6,275

5,610

2026 (part year)

22,020

13,958

12,532

 

1,253

1,253

1,120

 

2,525

2,526

3,102

Total: Original 28 year minimum contract period

7 43,312

624,595

560,715

 

170,710

170,745

155,043

 

240,879

240,935

218,950

2026 (part year)

0

0

17,545

 

0

0

1,568

 

0

0

2,318

2027

0

0

30,829

 

0

0

2,536

 

0

0

5,237

2028

0

0

31,599

 

0

0

2,393

 

0

0

5,060

2029

0

0

32,389

 

0

0

2,257

 

0

0

4,888

2030

0

0

33,199

 

0

0

2,130

 

0

0

4,723

2031

0

0

34,029

 

0

0

2,009

 

0

0

4,563

2032

0

0

34,880

 

0

0

1,895

 

0

0

4,409

2033 (part year)

0

0

14,830

 

0

0

745

 

0

0

1,775

Total further 7 years post refinancing

0

0

2,29,300

 

0

0

15,533

 

0

0

32,973

Total: Extended 35 year minimum contract period

743,312

624,595

790,015

 

170,710

170,745

170,576

 

240,879

240,935

251,923

Source: The Trust and Ernst & Young, the financial advisers for the refinancing

NOTES 

1  The NPVs are discounted to 1996, the year the original deal was approved.

2  The cash and NPV figures for 2003 include the lump sum receipt in that year of £1.5 million from the refinancing

3  The cash amounts increase each year for inflation as allowed by the contract.