Recommendations

19  As a result of this examination we make the following recommendations:

A  The extensive experience which the MOD Building project team has built up of managing a large complex PFI building procurement should be disseminated more widely across central government. The project team should summarise the lessons it has learned and make this available to other departments. These include the importance of the commitment from senior officials to the project's success and of negotiating objective performance standards for the availability of all types of serviced accommodation.

B  Departments should bear in mind that, although the expected price is important there are also, as MOD recognised, other important strategic factors which may influence the choice of procurement. If, as was the case in this deal, there is a reasonably foreseeable long-term need for accommodation, it makes sense to consider a long-term contractual arrangement for it to be supplied. And arrangements, such as those included in PFI contracts, which incentivise the contractor to complete on time, which minimise the risk of cost variations to the department and which provide specified service standards, may be an important consideration in the choice of procurement.

C  Departments should recognise the importance of survey work on the physical state of their buildings to the pricing of bids for redevelopment projects. Departments should consider the merits of making a detailed survey available to all bidders to enable redevelopment building risks to be priced competitively by all bidders.

D  Departments should be aware they may be exposed to fluctuating financing costs if there are extended negotiations with the preferred bidder. Costs may go up or down. Where possible the need for negotiations after a preferred bidder is appointed should be minimised and a decision on the choice of financing (which may be affected by fluctuations in the rates obtainable for alternative sources of finance) should be made as late as possible in the procurement timetable.

E  There are significant uncertainties inherent in any public sector comparator. The actual costs of a conventionally procured project may fall within a wide range of possible costs. Departments should recognise this in making cost comparisons. In particular, they should be careful not to conclude that a PFI deal becomes better value for money if it is marginally less than a single figure estimate of the cost of conventional procurement. Given the uncertainties in the comparison, a more reasonable conclusion in that situation may be that the cost comparison shows there is little to choose between PFI and conventional procurement in cost terms.

F  As the MOD team did in this deal, departments should compare a proposed PFI deal with the best alternative option available before proceeding with the deal. Conventional procurement as modelled by a public sector comparator may not represent a true fall-back solution when closure of the deal approaches. But there may be other realistic alternatives, such as carrying out an alternative project with a reduced scope, which should be compared with the proposed PFI deal.

Table 1: Key aspects of MOD redevelopment deal

 

PFI deal as contracted

Conventional procurement alternative

Final deal cost at 2000 prices (discounted at 6% over 30 years)

£746.1 million

Most likely estimate £746.2 million within a range of £690 million to £807 million

Cost profiles

Unitary charge of £55 million spread evenly over years 5 to 30 of the contract (Unitary charge is reduced in first 4 years until Main Building is fully redeveloped)

Full capital cost of £351 million in first 4 years followed by ongoing facilities management and maintenance costs only

Risk allocation:

 

 

  remaining with public sector

Delivery of MOD operational objectives

Most risks retained by Public Sector

 

Information Technology Systems

 

  passed on to private sector

Construction Latent defects Meeting specified performance standards and operating cost risk over the contract period Design Programme

 

Cost of advisers used in procurement (actual prices)

£9 million

MOD consider that cost would be broadly the same under conventional procurement

Original estimate of deal cost (2000 prices) at:

 

 

Invitation to negotiate

£659 million

£693 million

Selection of preferred bidder

£647 million

£672 million

MOD assessment of the additional benefits of its chosen procurement route over conventional procurement

Greater price certainty

Incentivises contractor to complete redevelopment on time as full payment only starts once the building is ready for use and occupied

Cost overruns passed on to public sector body

 

Payment linked to delivery of service which incentivises the PFI contractor to deliver the quality of service which is specified over the entire contract period

Service delivered on cost plus basis

 

Same contractor designs, maintains and operates building under one contract and is therefore incentivised to adopt whole-life costing

Design, maintenance and operation of building is dealt with under separate contracts

Milestones

Contract start - May 2000

May 20001

 

Decant complete - November 2001

April 2002

 

Recant complete - November 2004

August 2005

 

Deal end - May 2030

 

NOTE

1.  Assumes a conventional procurement process would have commenced in January 1999 leading to contract signatures in May 2000.

Source: National Audit Office