Projects shareholders often have an incentive to finance a PPP with a high ratio of debt to equity-that is, to achieve high leverage. As Yescombe [#295] describes, higher leverage typically enables equity investors to achieve higher returns, and makes it easier to manage the financial structure, since it can be easier to raise debt than equity. Moreover, as described in Ehrhardt and Irwin [#72], governments often provide more protection to debt investors than to equity investors, providing a further incentive for high leverage. For example, governments may provide guarantees on demand designed to ensure revenue can cover debt service, or agree to payments in case of early termination that are set equal to the level of debt, such that lenders are repaid even in case of default by the project sponsor on its obligations under the contract.
However, highly-leveraged projects can also be more vulnerable to default and bankruptcy, as also described in Ehrhardt and Irwin [#72, pages 35-38]. Box 1.9: Example of an Over-Leveraged PPP-Victoria Trams and Trains below provides an example of a highly leveraged PPP that resulted in default.
To ensure a sustainable level of leverage, and large enough equity stake in the project, governments can consider introducing a minimum equity ratio for PPPs. As Ehrhardt and Irwin [#72, pages 49-50] note, this can be particularly important if the government is also providing guarantees that are designed to protect lenders' investment. However, restricting an investor's ability to choose its capital structure can increase the cost of capital, as described in a World Bank Gridline note on financing Indian infrastructure [#125, page 2]. The authors also note the importance of structuring any guarantees or termination payment clauses to avoid creating incentives for high levels of debt and leverage.
Box 1.9: Example of an Over-Leveraged PPP-Victoria Trams and Trains The State Government of Victoria awarded five franchises (similar to concessions) for operation of trams and commuter rail in Melbourne, and regional trains in the State of Victoria. The government expected total savings of A$1.8 billion over the life of the contract. However, the total equity contribution, including performance bonds, from the shareholders was only A$135 million, which is only 8 percent of the total gains. The payment structure of the PPP relied heavily on the expected growth in patronage and reduction in costs. When the growth and cost reductions were not realized, the franchisees experienced losses. Because the equity at stake was relatively low, the operators could walk away from the franchises, rather than endure the losses trying to improve it. This put the government in a position of having to renegotiate the contracts with the existing operators. Source: David Ehrhardt & Tim Irwin (2004) Avoiding Customer and Taxpayer Bailouts in Private Infrastructure Projects: Policy towards Leverage, Risk Allocation, and Bankruptcy, Working Paper 3274, World Bank, Washington, D.C. |