Reforms that strengthen under future outlook scenarios

Bounce back to rapid recovery

Faster global and local recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic. Fast population growth, greater centralisation in cities, trend economic growth and greater return to cities and offices.

A more rapid recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic than anticipated in the Australian Government's 2021-2022 Budget Outlook is likely to require increased focus on supporting the adjustments in Australia's cities that were catalysed during the COVID-19 pandemic (see Table V.8).

This will require a greater accommodation of the rapid digitalisation of workplaces and working from home. Improvements in the recognition of the value of social infrastructure, the cost of transport infrastructure and the benefits of sustainable infrastructure should guide future investment.

Table V.8: Bounce back to rapid recovery reforms

Rec.

Theme

Chapter

1.1

Rethinking our Fast-growing Cities

Place-based outcomes for communities

2.2

Technology-led sustainability

Sustainability and resilience

4.4

A fairer price for every journey

Transport

7.3

Enabling Australia's digital future

Telecommunications and digital

8.3

Social infrastructure is economic infrastructure too

Social infrastructure

 

Slow recovery from a sustained pandemic

Longer-lasting global pandemic and additional domestic outbreaks. Slower population growth, below trend economic growth for the medium-term, significantly less international movement of people and some trade effects.

A slower recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic than anticipated in the Australian Government's 2021-2022 Budget Outlook will require the efficient functioning of our supply chains and transport infrastructure. Both the efficient operation of existing transport networks and investment in enhancements to the network will have additional emphasis (see Table V.9).

Table V.9: Slow recovery from a sustained pandemic reforms

Rec.

Theme

Chapter

4.1

Getting the most out of our transport investments

Transport

4.2

Connecting regional and remote Australia

Transport

Regionalised Australia

Faster population growth in regions. Lower demand for inner city business and residential locations and significantly more working from home.

The COVID-19 pandemic has seen a strengthening of regional growth as people extend existing connections with regional Australia or decide to call it home for the first time. If this growth outpaces the expectations of the Australian Government's 2021-2022 Budget Outlook the introduction of place-based planning strategies to support population and jobs growth will be critical (see Table V.10). Access to secure, quality water must be understood and supported, alongside improved transport connections to link to Fast-growing Cities.

Table V.10: Regionalised Australia reforms

Rec.

Theme

Chapter

1.2

Strengthening Smaller Cities and Regional Centres

Place-based outcomes for communities

1.3

Lifting access in Small Towns, Rural Communities and Remote Areas

Place-based outcomes for communities

4.2

Connecting regional and remote Australia

Transport

6.1

Securing our water future

Water

6.2

Valuing water to create liveable communities

Water

 

Digital Australia

Faster adoption of digital technologies by consumers and society. A higher rate of digital transformation, faster-closing digital divide and greater digital and technological literacy.

The pace of digital and technological change is occurring increasingly rapidly, with increasing processing capability, big data, machine learning, automation and connectivity (see Table V.11).

Under this technology-led model, smart enablement by the telecommunications and digital sectors will be critical. These reforms will allow step changes in transport services for urban, regional and remote communities to be unlocked. The availability of better data and customer information in energy and waste sectors unlocks behaviour change.

Table V.11: Digital Australia reforms

Rec.

Theme

Chapter

4.2

Connecting regional and remote Australia

Transport

4.3

Mobility choice made possible

Transport

5.2

A smart, affordable, reliable grid

Energy

7.3

Enabling Australia's digital future

Telecommunications and digital

9.2

Waste data to drive innovation

Waste

Destabilised world

Increased risk and impacts of disaster. Greater incidence of natural disasters, increased political instability, increased cyberwarfare and cybercrime.

An increasingly destablised world will place added importance on the need to enhance resilience and sustainability. All three sustainability and resilience reforms perform well under this scenario (see Table V.12). Increasing the resilience of the telecommunications sector, which has proven vital in both the COVID-19 pandemic and the 2019-2020 bushfire season will also be critical.

Finally, improving the independence of our waste system through a circular economy will enhance supply chain sovereignty and reduce exposure to foreign disruption.

Table V.12: Destabilised world reforms

Rec.

Theme

Chapter

2.1

Infrastructure planning for an uncertain future

Sustainability and resilience

2.2

Technology-led sustainability

Sustainability and resilience

2.3

Transparency and collaboration builds trust in decisions

Sustainability and resilience

7.1

Improving the resilience of Australia's telecommunications

Telecommunications and digital

9.1

Valuing resources to enable a circular economy

Waste